Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.887624 8.887223 9.926839 11.085638 12.338040 13.647706 15.117670
2024-10-20 6.159368 7.548173 9.076006 10.868524 12.900831 15.120741 17.715917
2024-10-27 4.943116 6.478664 8.243824 10.396338 12.923380 15.769921 19.191940
2024-11-03 4.361894 6.042214 8.043742 10.559729 13.593410 17.090226 21.381013
2024-11-10 3.905973 5.691344 7.887183 10.722011 14.219497 18.330020 23.460467
2024-11-17 3.401742 5.219640 7.528751 10.589086 14.449380 19.070779 24.931548
2024-11-24 3.045523 4.901417 7.328957 10.622283 14.857698 20.009355 26.631731
2024-12-01 2.712544 4.579390 7.093097 10.581361 15.151005 20.792776 28.137101
2024-12-08 2.434364 4.305767 6.896800 10.569837 15.464559 21.590831 29.657409
2024-12-15 2.381905 4.353428 7.136503 11.139773 16.536604 23.353358 32.397333
2024-12-22 2.158625 4.123638 6.970117 11.143766 16.855291 24.154775 33.933172
2024-12-29 2.109472 4.156428 7.175141 11.659563 17.858781 25.844038 36.609925
2025-01-05 1.997920 4.085109 7.229069 11.971456 18.604501 27.226013 38.935130
2025-01-12 1.752123 3.773175 6.907987 11.735804 18.595317 27.618789 39.992807
2025-01-19 1.472226 3.372974 6.424364 11.237324 18.198580 27.479717 40.344271
2025-01-26 1.372225 3.276197 6.402484 11.409992 18.734994 28.583916 42.327100
2025-02-02 1.280789 3.185588 6.383150 11.581493 19.268327 29.686928 44.317105
2025-02-09 1.136673 2.981027 6.165814 11.441022 19.347092 30.169249 45.484105
2025-02-16 1.038640 2.854400 6.067787 11.476106 19.674323 30.989732 47.106114
2025-02-23 0.936265 2.707293 5.925092 11.432859 19.881377 31.642640 48.505443
2025-03-02 0.848341 2.579600 5.806825 11.420679 20.129264 32.350736 49.982354
2025-03-09 0.859680 2.666435 6.068244 12.022793 21.299742 34.358916 53.243459
2025-03-16 0.783168 2.551458 5.963509 12.027010 21.572215 35.108389 54.793089